Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
19%
25%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 1
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CHL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
DBU
5 - 1
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 1
OPA
55%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FUL
1 - 0
EVE
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |