Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 1
ARS
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
SOU
82%
13%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
39%
25%
37%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
42%
26%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 3
EVE
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |