Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 0
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 3
QPR
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
IPS
0 - 2
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
WIM
2 - 1
EVE
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
EVE
4 - 1
IPS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
EVE
1 - 4
SHW
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
EVE
0 - 0
TOT
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |