Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
NTT
1 - 2
ARS
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1981 |
ARS
2 - 1
KFC
69%
21%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
IPS
2 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1981 |
NOT
2 - 2
EVE
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
EVE
1 - 2
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
EVE
0 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |