Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
ARS
3 - 1
BBU
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
WHU
0 - 4
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 3
TOT
30%
23%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1963 |
IPS
0 - 3
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
WHU
1 - 0
EVE
50%
21%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 0
NTT
72%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
EVE
0 - 0
WOL
60%
19%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |