Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHW
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 2
TOT
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1950 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
73%
16%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
EVE
0 - 3
WBA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 2
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1950 |
MID
4 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 2
HUR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |