Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
DER
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
ARS
4 - 2
BIR
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1949 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
HUR
2 - 2
ARS
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 2
WOL
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
OPA
7 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |