Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1948 |
ARS
4 - 3
MUD
59%
20%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
BPO
3 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
EVE
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
4 - 1
PNE
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |