Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 0
GRI
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
PNE
1 - 0
ARS
38%
23%
39%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1936 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1936 |
DER
0 - 4
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
EVE
4 - 0
BBU
66%
17%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 3
EVE
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
CHL
2 - 2
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
EVE
4 - 1
WOL
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |