Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 3
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1925 |
WHU
0 - 4
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
NEW
7 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
EVE
4 - 2
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
SUN
7 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 3
HUR
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |