Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
4 - 2
TOT
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
TOT
2 - 5
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |