Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
WBA
7 - 0
ARS
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 1
WBA
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
61%
20%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
EVE
4 - 2
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
2 - 1
EVE
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |