Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 3
ARS
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
BBU
2 - 2
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ARS
3 - 2
SUN
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 3
ARS
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
EVE
1 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 3
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 5
WBA
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
WBA
4 - 3
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |