Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
3 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 2
NTT
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 2
SUN
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
DER
5 - 0
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHE
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
EVE
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |