Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHW
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
SUN
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |