Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
SUN
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 3
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |