Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 5-1
Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
0 - 3
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ARS
4 - 2
WIG
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 3
ARS
23%
27%
51%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 1
MEI
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
IST
0 - 2
DZG
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
0 - 3
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 3
HNS
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
5 - 2
FKE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |