Europa League Last 16
Global 1-2
Arsenal vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
COV
1 - 1
ARS
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
CRV
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
CRV
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
CRV
1 - 1
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRV
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1978 |
CRV
4 - 1
BFC
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 2
CRV
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |