Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 2
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
WOL
62%
22%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
5 - 3
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 3
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
CHL
1 - 0
NOR
79%
15%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
SHE
3 - 0
CHL
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |