Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
SEV
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
5 - 2
SLB
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 3
CHL
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
BYM
1 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
WES
1 - 3
ARS
9%
16%
75%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 2
INT
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 3
BYM
40%
23%
37%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 3
CHL
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
29%
24%
47%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CHL
5 - 1
SUN
90%
8%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |