Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 2
ARS
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
NOR
1 - 1
ARS
28%
22%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
ARS
2 - 1
STO
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1965 |
MUD
3 - 1
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 2
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
FUL
0 - 3
CHL
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
STO
2 - 2
CHL
41%
23%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1965 |
BPO
3 - 2
CHL
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |