Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
NTT
2 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
ARS
1 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1964 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 2
BUR
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
STO
2 - 0
CHL
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
SHW
3 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
CHL
4 - 0
IPS
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
CHL
2 - 3
WOL
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |