Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
5 - 1
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHA
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
BPO
2 - 2
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
3 - 1
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
4 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
WOL
3 - 4
CHL
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
CHL
4 - 1
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1954 |
SHW
1 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |