Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 3
WOL
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1953 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1953 |
ARS
0 - 0
HUR
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 2
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 1
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1953 |
CHL
4 - 3
OPA
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1953 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |