Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
5 - 3
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 2
WBA
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 1
PNE
71%
15%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
3 - 3
CHL
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHW
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |