Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
0 - 0
WOL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
ASV
1 - 3
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHA
63%
20%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
EVE
2 - 0
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1939 |
SHW
0 - 0
CHL
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
STO
6 - 1
CHL
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
CHL
4 - 2
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |