Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1932 |
OPA
1 - 3
ARS
40%
24%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 2
MID
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
ASV
5 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
WOL
1 - 7
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 2
SHW
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
WBA
3 - 2
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
CHL
4 - 2
BIR
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |