Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
MID
2 - 5
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 0
SHW
61%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEE
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |