Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
HUR
6 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 3
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 0
CHL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 2
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 2
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |