Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 3
ARS
70%
16%
13%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
45%
23%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHL
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
4 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |