Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
3 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
MID
5 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 0
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 4
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
SHE
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
4 - 1
CHL
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |