Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NTT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1909 |
SHW
5 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 1
BBU
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |