Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
SHE
2 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
LIV
4 - 1
ARS
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
BOL
1 - 2
CHL
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
CHL
0 - 4
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |