Qualif. Champions PlayOffs Final
Global 5-1
Arsenal vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
OPA
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 6
ARS
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
GLA
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 1
ATM
60%
23%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
5 - 2
STJ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 2
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
DIN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |