Arsenal vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
STO
0 - 2
ARS
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
ARS
0 - 0
LEI
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 1
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUM
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 2
NEW
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
EVE
2 - 3
CUM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 2
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 1
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |