Arsenal vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
DON
2 - 2
ARS
12%
23%
65%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
REA
5 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 1
SOU
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
QPR
1 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
PLY
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |