Arsenal vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
BPO
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
ARS
0 - 1
WBA
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
MAC
3 - 2
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
CAR
1 - 1
BUR
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
WBA
5 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1962 |
CAR
2 - 3
WOL
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |