Arsenal vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
HUR
0 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
66%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1955 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARS
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
SHW
1 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOT
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1955 |
CAR
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |