Arsenal vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 4
SUN
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
WOL
0 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 1
BPO
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
BPO
2 - 2
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
SUN
5 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 3
WOL
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |