Arsenal vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 4
TOT
61%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
BIR
0 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 0
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BBU
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
EVE
0 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEI
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |