Arsenal vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
WBA
1 - 3
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
HUR
3 - 3
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
BBU
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 2
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
LEE
4 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
BCF
3 - 2
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
BUR
0 - 0
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 3
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |