Arsenal vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
4 - 1
PNE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 1
OLD
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1912 |
SHW
2 - 1
BCF
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |