Arsenal vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 2
ARS
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
LEI
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 0
BCF
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
4 - 1
BCF
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 1
BBU
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |