Arsenal vs Burton Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
1 - 4
BIR
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
1 - 2
NOT
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
6 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
1 - 0
MID
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1894 |
CRE
0 - 0
ARS
23%
22%
55%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1894 |
BUR
0 - 3
GRI
60%
19%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1894 |
BUR
6 - 1
CRE
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1894 |
NEW
4 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1894 |
BUR
7 - 0
MID
69%
18%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
NOR
1 - 1
BUR
20%
20%
60%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |