Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
ARS
0 - 0
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 1
ARS
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
50%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 2
WOL
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |