Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1953 |
ARS
3 - 1
BPO
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
TOT
1 - 4
ARS
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
ARS
3 - 2
PNE
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
BUR
1 - 0
OPA
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 2
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
BUR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
LIV
4 - 0
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
TOT
2 - 3
BUR
68%
17%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |