Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
BUR
2 - 0
BPO
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
STO
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 3
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
NEW
7 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |