Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
ARS
3 - 2
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 3
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
ARS
2 - 0
BPO
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
BPO
1 - 1
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 2
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
SHE
0 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
DER
2 - 0
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 2
MUD
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |