Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 5
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
BCF
1 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
0 - 2
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
BIR
3 - 6
BUR
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 3
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |