Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
WBA
2 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |